Where the market is wrong on Sileks v Bregalnica Štip
Sileks meet Bregalnica Štip in the First League regular season - 7 at Sileks Stadion, Kratovo.
Bregalnica Štip rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1477. Recent form leans Bregalnica Štip, 75% against 45%. Attacking output favors Bregalnica Štip on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.5 per match.
Sileks arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Bregalnica Štip, L 0-1 @ Struga, L 0-2 v Shkendija, L 1-4 @ Vardar Skopje.
Bregalnica Štip are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Sileks, W 4-1 @ Teteks, L 0-1 v Shkëndija Haraçinë, L 0-4 @ Struga.
Bregalnica Štip hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sileks 2-2 Bregalnica Štip.
The market prices SIL at 70% implied. Our number sits apart on Bregalnica Štip: a 36.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
