Where the market is wrong on Spartak Varna v Ludogorets
Spartak Varna meet Ludogorets in the First League regular season - 7 at Stadion Spartak, Varna.
Ludogorets rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1625 to 1500. Recent form leans Ludogorets, 68% against 50%. Attacking output favors Ludogorets on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Spartak Varna arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Ludogorets, L 0-6 @ Levski Sofia, L 0-1 v Septemvri Sofia, L 2-3 @ Botev Plovdiv.
Ludogorets are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Spartak Varna, D 1-1 v Slavia Sofia, W 2-0 v Botev Plovdiv, W 3-2 @ Cherno More Varna.
Ludogorets hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Spartak Varna 1-1 Ludogorets.
The market prices SPA at 15% implied. Our number sits apart on Spartak Varna: a 14.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
