Hilal El-Fasher v Hay Al Wadi: the model read
Hilal El-Fasher meet Hay Al Wadi in the Sudani Premier League championship group - 7. The model makes Hilal El-Fasher the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% HIL, 33% draw, 31% HAY.
The baseline ratings are close, 1480 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 47% against 43%. Attacking output favors Hay Al Wadi on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Hilal El-Fasher at 54%; double chance reads Hilal El-Fasher or draw 69%, Hay Al Wadi or draw 63%.
Hilal El-Fasher arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Hay Al Wadi, L 0-1 @ Al-Hilal Omdurman II, L 1-2 @ Umm Mughad, L 0-2 @ Al-Merreikh II.
Hay Al Wadi are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Hilal El-Fasher, W 3-1 @ Al Fallah, L 0-4 @ Al-Merreikh II, D 3-3 @ Al Ahli Wad Medani.
Hilal El-Fasher hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hilal El-Fasher 0-0 Hay Al Wadi.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output