Burnley v Espanyol: the model read
Burnley meet Espanyol in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Espanyol the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 27% BUR, 29% draw, 44% ESP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Espanyol, 38% against 18%. Attacking output favors Espanyol on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Espanyol at 62%; double chance reads Burnley or draw 56%, Espanyol or draw 73%.
Burnley arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Ajax, L 1-4 @ Real Salt Lake, D 1-1 @ Columbus Crew, L 1-3 @ FC Cincinnati.
Espanyol are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Sabadell, W 4-0 v PAU, W 3-0 @ Olot, D 1-1 v Real Sociedad.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
