Genoa v Napoli: the model read
Genoa meet Napoli in the Serie A regular season - 1 at Luigi Ferraris, Genova.
Napoli rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1466. Recent form leans Napoli, 68% against 43%. Attacking output favors Napoli on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Napoli at 68%; double chance reads Genoa or draw 51%, Napoli or draw 77%.
Genoa arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Lazio, L 0-2 v Napoli, W 4-1 v Ascoli, L 0-1 v Deportivo La Coruna.
Napoli are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Como, W 2-0 @ Genoa, W 6-2 v Aris Thessalonikis, D 1-1 v Celta Vigo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
