Once Caldas v Deportes Tolima: the model read
Once Caldas meet Deportes Tolima in the Primera A clausura - 7 at Estadio Palogrande, Manizales.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Once Caldas, 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors Once Caldas on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Once Caldas arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Deportivo Pasto, W 1-0 v Deportes Tolima, L 1-2 v Deportivo Cali, W 1-0 v Alianza Valledupar.
Deportes Tolima are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v America de Cali, L 0-1 @ Once Caldas, L 0-1 @ Santa Fe, W 2-1 @ Llaneros.
Deportes Tolima hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Once Caldas 1-0 Deportes Tolima.
The market prices ONC at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
