Where the market is wrong on Internacional de Bogota v Deportivo Pasto
Internacional de Bogota meet Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A clausura - 7 at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogota.
The baseline ratings are close, 1445 to 1407, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Internacional de Bogota, 42% against 33%. Attacking output favors Internacional de Bogota on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Deportivo Pasto at 50%; double chance reads Internacional de Bogota or draw 65%, Deportivo Pasto or draw 66%.
Internacional de Bogota arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Deportivo Pasto, D 2-2 @ Deportivo Cali, D 1-1 @ Cucuta, L 1-2 @ Deportes Tolima.
Deportivo Pasto are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Internacional de Bogota, L 0-1 v Llaneros, L 0-2 v Deportivo Cali, L 0-2 @ Millonarios.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Internacional de Bogota 1-1 Deportivo Pasto.
The market prices INT at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Deportivo Pasto: a 18.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
