Alianza Valledupar v Deportes Tolima: the model read
Alianza Valledupar meet Deportes Tolima in the Primera A clausura - 2 at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar. The model makes Deportes Tolima the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 27% ALI, 32% draw, 41% DEP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Deportes Tolima, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Deportes Tolima on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Deportes Tolima at 61%; double chance reads Alianza Valledupar or draw 59%, Deportes Tolima or draw 73%.
Alianza Valledupar arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Bucaramanga, L 0-1 @ Deportivo Cali, W 3-0 v Real Santander, D 1-1 @ Popayan.
Deportes Tolima are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Quindio, D 0-0 @ Universitario, L 1-3 @ Atletico Nacional, L 0-3 @ Coquimbo Unido.
Deportes Tolima hold the recent head-to-head, 9 wins to 1 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportes Tolima 2-0 Alianza Valledupar.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
