Where the market is wrong on Llaneros v Deportivo Pereira
Llaneros meet Deportivo Pereira in the Primera A clausura - 1 at Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio. The model makes Llaneros the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% LLA, 34% draw, 26% DEP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Llaneros, 53% against 33%. Attacking output favors Llaneros on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans Llaneros at 60%; double chance reads Llaneros or draw 74%, Deportivo Pereira or draw 60%.
Llaneros arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Deportivo Pereira, W 1-0 @ Chico, W 3-1 v Patriotas, L 0-1 @ Millonarios.
Deportivo Pereira are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Llaneros, W 1-0 v Jaguares, D 1-1 @ Águilas Doradas, W 1-0 v Real Soacha.
Llaneros hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Llaneros 1-0 Deportivo Pereira.
The market prices LLA at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on Deportivo Pereira: a 9.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
