Orsomarso v Real Cartagena: the model read
Orsomarso meet Real Cartagena in the Primera B clausura - 8 at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja. The model makes Real Cartagena the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 28% ORS, 32% draw, 40% REA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Real Cartagena, 55% against 40%. Attacking output favors Real Cartagena on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Real Cartagena at 59%; double chance reads Orsomarso or draw 60%, Real Cartagena or draw 72%.
Orsomarso arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Fortaleza FC, D 1-1 v Independiente Medellin, L 0-2 @ Leones FC, D 1-1 v Cucuta.
Real Cartagena are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ America de Cali, D 1-1 @ Envigado, L 2-3 v Envigado, W 2-1 v Barranquilla.
Real Cartagena hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Cartagena 4-0 Orsomarso.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
