Where the market is wrong on Sport Boys v Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys meet Deportivo Garcilaso in the Primera División clausura - 9 at Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao.
The baseline ratings are close, 1601 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 66% against 70%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Garcilaso on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Sport Boys arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Deportivo Garcilaso, L 1-2 @ Sport Huancayo, W 1-0 v Sporting Cristal, D 2-2 @ Atletico Grau.
Deportivo Garcilaso are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Sport Boys, W 4-2 v Atletico Grau, W 1-0 @ Alianza Lima, W 4-1 v Cusco.
Deportivo Garcilaso hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sport Boys 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso.
The market prices SPO at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Deportivo Garcilaso: a 14.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
