Aarhus v FC Midtjylland: the model read
Aarhus meet FC Midtjylland in the Superliga regular season - 6 at New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus.
FC Midtjylland rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1500. Recent form leans FC Midtjylland, 73% against 50%. Attacking output favors FC Midtjylland on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.7 per match.
Aarhus arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Randers FC, L 1-3 v Benfica, D 2-2 v Odense, L 1-3 @ Benfica.
FC Midtjylland are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Silkeborg, W 4-1 @ HNK Rijeka, W 1-0 v Randers FC, W 2-0 v HNK Rijeka.
FC Midtjylland hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Aarhus 0-0 FC Midtjylland.
The market prices AAR at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
