Desenzano Calvina v Scafatese: the model read
Desenzano Calvina meet Scafatese in the Serie D - Championship Round semi-finals. The model makes Scafatese the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 34% DES, 32% draw, 34% SCA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1696 to 1765, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 78% against 85%. Attacking output favors Scafatese on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Scafatese at 50%; double chance reads Desenzano Calvina or draw 66%, Scafatese or draw 66%.
Desenzano Calvina arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Scafatese, D 1-1 v Scafatese, L 0-1 v Grosseto, W 2-0 @ Ostia Mare.
Scafatese are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Pineto, L 1-3 @ Avellino, W 6-0 @ Vado, W 1-0 v Desenzano Calvina.
Scafatese hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Scafatese 1-0 Desenzano Calvina.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output