FC Volendam v Willem II: the model read
FC Volendam meet Willem II in the Eerste Divisie final at Kras Stadion, Volendam. The model makes Willem II the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 23% FC , 28% draw, 49% WIL.
Willem II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1443. Recent form leans Willem II, 71% against 40%. Attacking output favors Willem II on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Willem II at 68%; double chance reads FC Volendam or draw 51%, Willem II or draw 77%.
FC Volendam arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Waalwijk, L 1-2 @ Almere City FC, L 1-3 @ Jong AZ, W 3-2 @ RKAV Volendam.
Willem II are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Eindhoven, L 1-2 v Quick Boys, W 2-1 @ FC Volendam, L 1-2 v FC Volendam.
Willem II hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Volendam 1-2 Willem II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
