Scafatese v Barletta: the model read
Scafatese meet Barletta in the Serie D - Championship Round championship round - 3. The model makes Scafatese the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% SCA, 31% draw, 34% BAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1765 to 1742, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 85% against 83%. Attacking output favors Scafatese on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Scafatese at 52%; double chance reads Scafatese or draw 66%, Barletta or draw 64%.
Scafatese arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Pineto, L 1-3 @ Avellino, W 6-0 @ Vado, W 1-0 v Desenzano Calvina.
Barletta are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Vado, W 2-1 v Vado, D 1-1 @ Scafatese, W 2-1 v Savoia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
