Ilves v Turku PS: the model read
Ilves meet Turku PS in the Suomen Cup round of 16 at Tammelan Stadion, Tampere. The model makes Ilves the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% ILV, 30% draw, 32% TUR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ilves, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Ilves on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Ilves at 55%; double chance reads Ilves or draw 68%, Turku PS or draw 62%.
Ilves arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Lahti, L 0-1 @ Stjarnan, W 3-1 @ Turku PS, W 3-1 v FC Differdange 03.
Turku PS are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ HJK Helsinki, L 1-3 v Ilves, W 3-0 v AC Oulu, L 1-3 @ SJK.
Ilves hold the recent head-to-head, 10 wins to 0 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Turku PS 1-3 Ilves.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
