Police v Kaédi: the model read
Police meet Kaédi in the Premier League regular season - 25. The model makes Police the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% POL, 34% draw, 31% KAÉ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 35%. Attacking output favors Police on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 20%. Draw no bet leans Police at 53%; double chance reads Police or draw 69%, Kaédi or draw 65%.
Police arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Gendrim, L 0-1 v Kaédi, L 1-4 @ Nouadhibou, L 0-1 v Chemal.
Kaédi are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Nouakchott King's, W 1-0 @ Police, D 1-1 v AC Douane, W 1-0 @ Ksar.
Police hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Police 0-1 Kaédi.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output