Auckland v Adelaide United: the model read
Auckland meet Adelaide United in the A-League semi-finals at Go Media Stadium, Auckland.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Adelaide United, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Adelaide United on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.
Auckland arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Al-Ahli Jeddah, L 0-2 v Tottenham, W 1-0 v Sydney, W 3-0 @ Adelaide United.
Adelaide United are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Công An Nhân Dân, L 1-2 @ South Melbourne, W 2-0 @ Playford City Patriots, W 5-0 @ The Cove.
Auckland hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Adelaide United 0-3 Auckland.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
