Atlètic Club d'Escaldes won the Copa Constitució final 3-2 against FC Santa Coloma at the Estadi Comunal in Andorra la Vella, recovering from a second-half deficit through a quick double from R. Piloto. The Lemeister model had favoured FC Santa Coloma with a 42 per cent win probability and a projected 2-1 victory, but Atlètic's efficiency in a six-minute spell overturned both the match and the model's expectation.
The opening goal arrived in the 25th minute when A. Gallego scored a normal goal to give Atlètic Club d'Escaldes the lead. That advantage held until the closing moments of the first half, when I. Barrenetxea equalised for FC Santa Coloma in the 44th minute, sending the teams into the interval level at 1-1. The timing of that goal shifted the momentum, and Santa Coloma emerged after the break looking the more assertive side.
Within 12 minutes of the restart, A. Villar found the net in the 57th minute to put FC Santa Coloma ahead for the first time in the match. At that stage, Santa Coloma had turned a one-goal deficit into a lead and appeared to be in control of the final. The Lemeister model's pre-match projection of a 2-1 home win seemed plausible, with Santa Coloma having scored twice in the space of 13 minutes either side of half-time.
The decisive passage of the match came in the space of six minutes. In the 62nd minute, R. Piloto converted a penalty to bring Atlètic level at 2-2, and then struck again with a normal goal in the 68th minute to complete his brace and put his team back in front. Piloto's two goals in quick succession represented the defining passage of the final, replacing the earlier narrative of Santa Coloma's recovery with a tale of Atlètic's ruthless efficiency. The speed of the turnaround, from 2-1 down to 3-2 up in only 11 minutes, prevented Santa Coloma from regrouping after Villar's goal.
The absence of cards in the data suggests a disciplined final, with neither side resorting to fouls to stem the opposition's momentum. Although the detailed statistics and player ratings are not recorded in the available data, the goal times and the flow of the match offer clear insight. Santa Coloma controlled the period after the break and created the chances to take the lead, but Atlètic's ability to generate two clear opportunities, the first a penalty, within a short window demonstrated sharp finishing under pressure. The penalty itself, awarded in the 62nd minute, was the turning point, as it gave Atlètic a route back into the match immediately after conceding the lead.
For Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, the result secures the Copa Constitució title, a significant achievement against the pre-match favourites. The comeback, driven by Piloto's quick double, underlines how fine the margins are in a cup final. For FC Santa Coloma, who entered as the Lemeister model's projected winner, the defeat will sting, particularly after taking the lead early in the second half. The model's projection of a 2-1 home win was not far from the final outcome in terms of total goals, but the distribution of those goals told a different story. Atlètic's three strikes, all coming after the 25th minute, and the timing of Piloto's brace, proved the decisive factor in a final that swung back and forth before settling in favour of the underdog.
