Thróttur Vogar v Selfoss: the model read
Thróttur Vogar meet Selfoss in the 2. Deild regular season - 19.
Selfoss rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1408. Recent form leans Selfoss, 70% against 33%. Attacking output favors Selfoss on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 80%, over 2.5 goals around 92%. Draw no bet leans Selfoss at 67%; double chance reads Thróttur Vogar or draw 50%, Selfoss or draw 75%.
Thróttur Vogar arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Selfoss, L 1-2 @ Vikingur Olafsiik, W 2-0 v Dalvík / Reynir, L 0-2 @ Kormákur / Hvöt.
Selfoss are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 15 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Thróttur Vogar, D 2-2 v Kári, W 6-2 v Fjolnir, L 0-2 @ Vikingur Olafsiik.
Selfoss hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Thróttur Vogar 1-3 Selfoss.
The market prices THR at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on Selfoss: a 2.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
