Ecuador Ecuador v Guatemala: the model read
Ecuador meet Guatemala in the Friendlies friendly international at Ohio Stadium, Columbus.
Ecuador rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1456. Recent form leans Ecuador, 65% against 42%. Attacking output favors Guatemala on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Ecuador arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Mexico, W 2-1 v Germany, D 0-0 v Curaçao, L 0-1 @ Ivory Coast.
Guatemala are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Ecuador, L 1-3 @ Czechia, L 0-7 @ Algeria, L 0-1 @ Canada.
Ecuador hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ecuador 3-0 Guatemala.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
