Wales v Northern Ireland: the model read
Wales meet Northern Ireland in the Friendlies friendly international at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 50%. Attacking output favors Wales on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.
Wales arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Romania, D 1-1 v Ghana, D 1-1 v Northern Ireland, D 1-1 v Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Northern Ireland are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ France, W 1-0 v Guinea, D 1-1 @ Wales, L 0-2 @ Italy.
Wales hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Wales 1-1 Northern Ireland.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
