Genk v Charleroi: the model read
Genk meet Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League conference league group - 34 at Cegeka Arena, Genk. The model makes Genk the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% GEN, 30% draw, 31% CHA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Genk, 57% against 39%. Attacking output favors Genk on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Genk at 55%; double chance reads Genk or draw 69%, Charleroi or draw 61%.
Genk arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ AZ Alkmaar, L 0-1 @ Falkirk, W 4-3 @ Motherwell, L 1-2 @ Fortuna Sittard.
Charleroi are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Lens, L 1-3 @ Feyenoord, D 2-2 v Reims, W 2-0 @ Standard Liege.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Charleroi 2-0 Genk.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
