Druzhba v Sevastopol

Druzhba meet Sevastopol in the Second League - Group 1 group 1 - 16 at Adygeyskiy Respublikanskiy Stadion Druzhba, Maykop. The model makes Sevastopol the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 29% DRU, 31% draw, 40% SEV.

Sevastopol rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1592. Recent form leans Sevastopol, 80% against 63%. Attacking output favors Sevastopol on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Sevastopol at 58%; double chance reads Druzhba or draw 60%, Sevastopol or draw 71%.

Druzhba arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Sevastopol, D 2-2 v Rubin Yalta, L 2-3 @ Kyzyltash, W 3-0 v FK Chayka 2.

Sevastopol are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Druzhba, L 2-3 @ Spartak Nalchik, W 1-0 v Angust Nazran, W 2-1 @ Astrakhan.

Sevastopol hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Druzhba 1-3 Sevastopol.

The market prices DRU at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.