Albania v San Marino: the model read
Albania meet San Marino in the UEFA Nations League 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Albania, 48% against 15%. Attacking output favors Albania on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.6 per match.
Albania arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Luxembourg, L 0-1 v Israel, L 0-1 @ Ukraine, L 1-2 @ Poland.
San Marino are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Azerbaijan, L 1-2 v Bangladesh, D 0-0 v Andorra, L 1-2 v Faroe Islands.
Albania hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Albania 5-0 San Marino.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
