Ukraine v Northern Ireland: the model read
Ukraine meet Northern Ireland in the UEFA Nations League 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors Ukraine on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Ukraine arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Denmark, W 2-0 @ Poland, W 1-0 v Albania, L 1-3 v Sweden.
Northern Ireland are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ France, W 1-0 v Guinea, D 1-1 @ Wales, L 0-2 @ Italy.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Ukraine 1-0 Northern Ireland.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
