Where the market is wrong on Irtysh v Okzhetpes
Irtysh meet Okzhetpes in the Premier League regular season - 26 at Centralnyj Stadion, Pavlodar.
Okzhetpes rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Okzhetpes, 55% against 33%. Attacking output favors Okzhetpes on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.9 per match.
Irtysh arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Okzhetpes, L 0-1 @ Zhetysu, W 2-1 v Aktobe, L 0-2 v FK Tobol Kostanay.
Okzhetpes are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Irtysh, W 2-1 v Ordabasy, W 3-2 @ Kaisar, W 2-0 @ Atyrau.
Irtysh hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Irtysh 2-1 Okzhetpes.
The market prices IRT at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Okzhetpes: a 10.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 78 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
