Where the market is wrong on Kaspiy v Kairat Almaty
Kaspiy meet Kairat Almaty in the Premier League regular season - 25 at Zhestar Stadium, Aktau.
Kairat Almaty rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1492. Recent form leans Kairat Almaty, 65% against 47%. Attacking output favors Kairat Almaty on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.2 per match.
Kaspiy arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v FK Tobol Kostanay, D 2-2 v Yelimay Semey, D 1-1 v Ulytau, L 2-3 @ Irtysh.
Kairat Almaty are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Yelimay Semey, L 0-3 @ Anderlecht, L 0-3 v Anderlecht, W 3-1 v Ulytau.
Kairat Almaty hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kairat Almaty 2-0 Kaspiy.
The market prices KAS at 14% implied. Our number sits apart on Kaspiy: a 12.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
