Where the market is wrong on Brusque v Amazonas
Brusque meet Amazonas in the Serie C regular season - 18.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 50%. Attacking output favors Brusque on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans Brusque at 55%; double chance reads Brusque or draw 69%, Amazonas or draw 62%.
Brusque arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Guarani Campinas, D 1-1 v Amazonas, W 3-2 v Inter De Limeira, L 1-2 @ Maranhão.
Amazonas are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Brusque, D 0-0 v Botafogo PB, W 3-0 @ Maringá, W 2-1 v Paysandu.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Brusque 1-1 Amazonas.
The market prices BRU at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Amazonas: a 11.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
