LDU Portoviejo v Santo Domingo

LDU Portoviejo meet Santo Domingo in the Liga Pro Serie B regular season - 18 at Estadio Reales Tamarindos, Portoviejo. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 33% LDU, 36% draw, 31% SAN.

The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 43%. Attacking output favors LDU Portoviejo on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 24%, over 2.5 goals around 15%. Draw no bet leans LDU Portoviejo at 51%; double chance reads LDU Portoviejo or draw 69%, Santo Domingo or draw 67%.

LDU Portoviejo arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Santo Domingo, L 0-1 v Ind. Juniors, L 0-1 @ Deportivo Cuenca Juniors, D 1-1 v 9 de Octubre.

Santo Domingo are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ LDU Portoviejo, L 0-1 v Deportivo Cuenca Juniors, D 1-1 @ San Antonio, W 1-0 v Ind. Juniors.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: LDU Portoviejo 1-0 Santo Domingo.

The market prices LDU at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on Santo Domingo: a 3.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.