Ferroviario v Floresta: the model read
Ferroviario meet Floresta in the Cearense - 1 3rd place at Estadio Presidente Vargas, Fortaleza. The model makes Ferroviario the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% FER, 32% draw, 27% FLO.
Ferroviario rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1477. Recent form leans Ferroviario, 65% against 48%. Attacking output favors Ferroviario on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Ferroviario at 60%; double chance reads Ferroviario or draw 73%, Floresta or draw 59%.
Ferroviario arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Goiatuba EC, L 0-3 @ Goiatuba EC, W 3-0 v Imperatriz, D 1-1 @ Imperatriz.
Floresta are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Maringá, D 0-0 @ Caxias, D 0-0 @ Guarani Campinas, W 2-1 v Barra.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ferroviario 1-0 Floresta.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
