Deportivo Cali W secured a 2-0 victory over Deportivo Pasto W at Estadio Deportivo Cali in Palmira, a result that the Lemeister model had strongly anticipated. The model gave the home side a 58% win probability and projected a 2-0 scoreline, which proved exact. The victory was built on two first-half goals, but the underlying numbers show a match largely controlled by the home side after those strikes, with Pasto unable to mount a recovery. The clean sheet and the visitors' failure to score underline a defensive solidity from the home team, while the two early goals provided the foundation for a comfortable evening.
The opening goal arrived in the 14th minute. N. Ruiz scored for Deportivo Cali W with a normal goal, with no assist recorded. This early breakthrough gave the home side a platform to dictate the tempo, and they doubled their advantage before the half-hour mark. In the 28th minute, K. Viancha found the net, with V. Cardenas providing the assist. The two-goal cushion was established comfortably within the first half, and despite the match having 35 minutes remaining after the second goal, Pasto could not reduce the deficit. The timing of the goals meant that Pasto spent the majority of the first half chasing the game, a position from which they never recovered.
The statistical picture reinforces the dominance suggested by the scoreline, though specific data on possession, shots, and expected goals are not available to dissect in detail here. The Lemeister model’s projections point to a controlled performance, with the home side projected to score exactly two goals and the visitors none. The single booking of the match was a yellow card shown to V. Erazo of Deportivo Pasto W in the 37th minute, a sign of the visitors’ frustration as they chased the game. Deportivo Cali W made five substitutions to Pasto’s three, perhaps reflecting the home side’s ability to manage the game from a position of strength and rotate their squad with the result secure.
Without individual player ratings or detailed team statistics in the provided data, the narrative relies on the scoring contributors and the disciplinary record. N. Ruiz and K. Viancha were the goal scorers for the home side, while V. Cardenas earned an assist. For the visitors, V. Erazo received the only card, a yellow. The lack of shots or expected goals data means a deeper tactical analysis is limited, but the clean sheet for Deportivo Cali W and the failure of Pasto to score underline a defensive solidity from the home team. The home side’s ability to keep a clean sheet while scoring twice suggests a balanced performance, with both the attack and defence functioning effectively.
The result gives Deportivo Cali W three important points in the Liga Femenina regular season, their 13th round fixture. With the win, they maintain their position in the standings and build momentum as the season progresses. The Lemeister model’s pre-match projection of a 2-0 home win proved accurate, reflecting the statistical expectation of a home side with a 58% win probability. For Deportivo Pasto W, this defeat, where they failed to score and created little threat according to the model’s projection, leaves them with work to do to climb the standings. The two first-half goals were decisive, and the visitors were unable to find a response in the remaining hour of play. The clean sheet for the home side and the lack of scoring by Pasto suggest that the game was largely one-sided, with Deportivo Cali W controlling the key moments.
