Iguatu v Horizonte: the model read
Iguatu meet Horizonte in the Cearense - 1 final at Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello, Iguatu. The model makes Iguatu the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% IGU, 31% draw, 26% HOR.
Iguatu rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1443. Recent form leans Iguatu, 70% against 40%. Attacking output favors Iguatu on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Iguatu at 62%; double chance reads Iguatu or draw 74%, Horizonte or draw 57%.
Iguatu arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Nacional AM, D 1-1 @ Nacional AM, W 2-1 v Maguary PE, W 3-2 @ Maguary PE.
Horizonte are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Iguatu, L 0-1 v Floresta, L 0-4 @ Ceara, D 1-1 @ Iguatu.
Iguatu hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Iguatu 3-1 Horizonte.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output