Where the market is wrong on Ponte Preta v CRB
Ponte Preta meet CRB in the Serie B regular season - 29 at Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas.
CRB rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1400. Recent form leans CRB, 60% against 13%. Attacking output favors CRB on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.5 per match.
Ponte Preta arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 1 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v CRB, L 0-6 @ Londrina, L 0-2 @ Sport Recife, L 0-2 v São Bernardo.
CRB are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Ponte Preta, W 2-1 v Sport Recife, L 0-3 @ Operario-PR, W 3-1 v America Mineiro.
Ponte Preta hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ponte Preta 1-0 CRB.
The market prices PON at 13% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 7.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
