Where the market is wrong on Criciuma v Operario-PR
Criciuma meet Operario-PR in the Serie B regular season - 29 at Estadio Heriberto Hülse, Chrissyuma.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 63%. Attacking output favors Operario-PR on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Criciuma arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Operario-PR, L 0-4 @ Atletico Goianiense, L 0-2 v Juventude, W 2-0 v Cuiaba.
Operario-PR are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Criciuma, D 3-3 @ Nautico Recife, W 3-0 v CRB, W 2-1 @ Londrina.
Operario-PR hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Criciuma 0-2 Operario-PR.
The market prices CRI at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Operario-PR: a 13.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
