Where the market is wrong on Nautico Recife v Operario-PR
Nautico Recife meet Operario-PR in the Serie B regular season - 28.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Operario-PR, 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors Operario-PR on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Nautico Recife arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Operario-PR, L 1-2 @ America Mineiro, W 1-0 v Botafogo SP, W 2-1 v Athletic Club.
Operario-PR are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Nautico Recife, W 3-0 v CRB, W 2-1 @ Londrina, D 1-1 @ Fortaleza EC.
Nautico Recife hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nautico Recife 3-3 Operario-PR.
The market prices NAU at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Operario-PR: a 15.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
