Changwon City v Jeonbuk Motors II

Changwon City meet Jeonbuk Motors II in the K3 League regular season - 18. The model makes Changwon City the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% CHA, 29% draw, 25% JEO.

Changwon City rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Changwon City, 55% against 23%. Attacking output favors Changwon City on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Changwon City at 64%; double chance reads Changwon City or draw 75%, Jeonbuk Motors II or draw 55%.

Changwon City arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Jeonbuk Motors II, L 1-5 v Gimhae City, D 1-1 v Chuncheon, W 3-0 v Geumsan Insam.

Jeonbuk Motors II are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Changwon City, L 0-2 @ Dangjin Citizen, L 2-5 @ Yangpyeong, D 1-1 @ Siheung Citizen.

Changwon City hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Changwon City 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors II.

The market prices CHA at 64% implied. Our number sits apart on Jeonbuk Motors II: a 10.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.