Mes Rafsanjan v Aluminium Arak: the model read
Mes Rafsanjan meet Aluminium Arak in the Persian Gulf Pro League regular season - 23 at Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium, Tafresh. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 28% MES, 39% draw, 33% ALU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1407, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 32% against 39%. Attacking output favors Aluminium Arak on expected goals, 0.6 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 13%, over 2.5 goals around 6%. Draw no bet leans Aluminium Arak at 54%; double chance reads Mes Rafsanjan or draw 67%, Aluminium Arak or draw 72%.
Mes Rafsanjan arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Esteghlal FC, W 2-0 @ Paykan, L 0-1 v Esteghlal Khuzestan, L 0-2 @ Shams Azar Qazvin.
Aluminium Arak are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Paykan, D 0-0 @ Shams Azar Qazvin, W 1-0 v ZOB Ahan, D 1-1 @ Esteghlal Khuzestan.
Mes Rafsanjan hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Aluminium Arak 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
