Where the market is wrong on APIA Leichhardt Tigers v St George City FA
APIA Leichhardt Tigers meet St George City FA in the New South Wales NPL regular season - 30 at Lambert Park, Sydney.
APIA Leichhardt Tigers rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1500. Recent form leans APIA Leichhardt Tigers, 70% against 48%. Attacking output favors APIA Leichhardt Tigers on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
APIA Leichhardt Tigers arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v St George City FA, D 0-0 @ Sydney United, L 0-1 v Melbourne Victory, W 3-1 v SD Raiders.
St George City FA are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ APIA Leichhardt Tigers, L 1-2 @ Sutherland Sharks, W 2-0 @ Sydney FC U23, W 1-0 v Rockdale City Suns.
The market prices API at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on St George City FA: a 7.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
