Rockdale City Suns v Manly United

Rockdale City Suns meet Manly United in the New South Wales NPL regular season - 26 at Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre, Sydney. The model makes Manly United the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% ROC, 30% draw, 35% MAN.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 53%. Attacking output favors Rockdale City Suns on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Manly United at 50%; double chance reads Rockdale City Suns or draw 65%, Manly United or draw 65%.

Rockdale City Suns arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Sutherland Sharks, W 6-1 @ St. George Saints, L 0-1 @ Sydney United, D 1-1 v NWS Spirit.

Manly United are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Sydney Olympic, D 0-0 @ Sydney FC U23, W 2-1 v Sutherland Sharks, W 1-0 v SD Raiders.

Manly United hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Manly United 4-1 Rockdale City Suns.

The market prices ROC at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Manly United: a 11.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.