Where the market is wrong on Bunyodkor v Surkhon
Bunyodkor meet Surkhon in the Super League regular season - 20 at Milliy Stadium, Tashkent.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Surkhon, 43% against 34%. Attacking output favors Bunyodkor on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Bunyodkor arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 6 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Surkhon, L 1-4 @ Lokomotiv, L 0-1 v Kokand-1912, L 3-4 @ Navbahor.
Surkhon are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Bunyodkor, L 0-1 v PFK Guliston, D 0-0 v Olmaliq, D 0-0 @ Pakhtakor.
The market prices BUN at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
