Caldas v Amora: the model read
Caldas meet Amora in the Liga 3 relegation group - 3 at Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha. The model makes Amora the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 31% CAL, 34% draw, 35% AMO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 33% against 38%. Attacking output favors Amora on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 23%. Draw no bet leans Amora at 53%; double chance reads Caldas or draw 65%, Amora or draw 69%.
Caldas arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ 1º Dezembro, D 1-1 v SC Covilha, L 0-2 @ Atlético CP, W 2-1 @ Amora.
Amora are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ SC Covilha, L 1-2 v Lusitano Évora 1911, W 1-0 @ 1º Dezembro, L 1-2 v Caldas.
Amora hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Amora 1-2 Caldas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
