Shamrock Rovers v Derry City: the model read
Shamrock Rovers meet Derry City in the FAI President's Cup final at Tallaght Stadium, Dublin. The model makes Shamrock Rovers the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% SHA, 30% draw, 28% DER.
Shamrock Rovers rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1454. Recent form leans Shamrock Rovers, 68% against 45%. Attacking output favors Shamrock Rovers on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Shamrock Rovers at 60%; double chance reads Shamrock Rovers or draw 72%, Derry City or draw 58%.
Shamrock Rovers arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Ararat-Armenia, L 0-2 @ Ararat-Armenia, W 4-1 v Cork City, W 5-1 v Floriana.
Derry City are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ HNK Rijeka, W 3-0 v Tolka Rovers, L 1-2 v CSKA Sofia, L 2-3 @ CSKA Sofia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
