Fylkir v Völsungur

Fylkir meet Völsungur in the 1. Deild regular season - 16. The model makes Fylkir the most likely outcome at 56%, with the full read 56% FYL, 24% draw, 20% VÖL.

Fylkir rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1400. Recent form leans Fylkir, 73% against 26%. Attacking output favors Fylkir on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans Fylkir at 74%; double chance reads Fylkir or draw 80%, Völsungur or draw 44%.

Fylkir arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 14 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ IR Reykjavik, D 1-1 v Afturelding, W 4-1 v Njardvik, W 5-2 @ Vestri.

Völsungur are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Grindavik, L 0-1 @ Throttur Reykjavik, L 1-6 v Afturelding, D 3-3 @ Leiknir R..

Fylkir hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Völsungur 0-1 Fylkir.

The market prices FYL at 77% implied. Our number sits apart on Völsungur: a 10.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.