Where the market is wrong on Carolina Core v Inter Miami II
Carolina Core meet Inter Miami II in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Truist Point, undefined. The model makes Inter Miami II the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 27% CAR, 30% draw, 43% INT.
Inter Miami II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1577 to 1400. Recent form leans Inter Miami II, 58% against 33%. Attacking output favors Inter Miami II on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Inter Miami II at 61%; double chance reads Carolina Core or draw 57%, Inter Miami II or draw 73%.
Carolina Core arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Chattanooga, L 1-3 @ Connecticut FC, W 1-0 v Huntsville City, D 0-0 @ Inter Miami II.
Inter Miami II are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Lakeland United, L 1-4 @ Atlanta United II, W 1-0 v Weston, L 0-1 @ Chattanooga.
Inter Miami II hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Inter Miami II 0-0 Carolina Core.
The market prices CAR at 65% implied. Our number sits apart on Inter Miami II: a 27.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
