Real Monarchs v Tacoma Defiance: the model read
Real Monarchs meet Tacoma Defiance in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Zions Bank Stadium, undefined. The model makes Tacoma Defiance the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 33% REA, 29% draw, 39% TAC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Tacoma Defiance, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Real Monarchs on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Tacoma Defiance at 54%; double chance reads Real Monarchs or draw 61%, Tacoma Defiance or draw 67%.
Real Monarchs arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Tacoma Defiance, W 2-1 v Vancouver Whitecaps II, D 2-2 @ Los Angeles FC II, L 1-3 @ Ventura County.
Tacoma Defiance are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Real Monarchs, W 1-0 @ The Town, L 0-2 v Portland Timbers II, D 2-2 @ Minnesota United II.
Tacoma Defiance hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Monarchs 2-4 Tacoma Defiance.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
