Connecticut FC v New York RB II

Connecticut FC meet New York RB II in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Morrone Stadium, undefined. The model makes New York RB II the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 32% CON, 27% draw, 41% NEW.

The baseline ratings are close, 1522 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 57%. Attacking output favors New York RB II on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 84%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans New York RB II at 56%; double chance reads Connecticut FC or draw 59%, New York RB II or draw 68%.

Connecticut FC arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 13 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v New York RB II, W 3-2 v Toronto II, W 3-1 v Carolina Core, L 1-4 v New York City II.

New York RB II are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 13 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Connecticut FC, L 0-3 @ Chicago Fire II, D 2-2 @ FC Cincinnati II, W 5-0 v Philadelphia Union II.

Connecticut FC hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Connecticut FC 2-1 New York RB II.

The market prices CON at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on New York RB II: a 10.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 79 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.