Orsomarso v Patriotas: the model read
Orsomarso meet Patriotas in the Primera B apertura - 4 at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 34% ORS, 35% draw, 32% PAT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 38%. Attacking output favors Patriotas on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 27%, over 2.5 goals around 18%. Draw no bet leans Orsomarso at 51%; double chance reads Orsomarso or draw 68%, Patriotas or draw 66%.
Orsomarso arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Fortaleza FC, D 1-1 v Independiente Medellin, L 0-2 @ Leones FC, D 1-1 v Cucuta.
Patriotas are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Llaneros, L 2-3 v Millonarios, D 1-1 @ Depor FC, D 0-0 v Chico.
Patriotas hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Orsomarso 0-0 Patriotas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
