Where the market is wrong on Deportes Santa Cruz v Recoleta
Deportes Santa Cruz meet Recoleta in the Primera B regular season - 26.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 48%. Attacking output favors Recoleta on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Deportes Santa Cruz arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 2 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Recoleta, W 1-0 @ Deportes Iquique, D 1-1 v Union Espanola, D 0-0 @ Union San Felipe.
Recoleta are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Deportes Santa Cruz, W 2-1 v San Marcos de Arica, W 2-1 @ Antofagasta, D 0-0 @ Curico Unido.
Recoleta hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportes Santa Cruz 0-0 Recoleta.
The market prices DEP at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
