Meshakhte v Samgurali: the model read
Meshakhte meet Samgurali in the Erovnuli Liga regular season - 20 at Agrano Vachadze Stadium, undefined. The model makes Samgurali the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 28% MES, 29% draw, 43% SAM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Samgurali, 48% against 28%. Attacking output favors Samgurali on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Samgurali at 61%; double chance reads Meshakhte or draw 57%, Samgurali or draw 72%.
Meshakhte arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Gonio, L 2-4 v FC Urartu, L 1-2 @ Saburtalo, D 1-1 v Gagra.
Samgurali are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ WIT Georgia, W 1-0 @ Spaeri, D 0-0 @ Gagra, L 3-5 @ Dinamo Tbilisi.
Samgurali hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Samgurali 3-1 Meshakhte.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
